Northern Kentucky
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,181  Hannah Tobler JR 21:40
1,818  Jennah Flairty JR 22:21
1,897  Elyse Black SO 22:26
2,191  Natalie Lienhart SO 22:46
2,202  Kimmy Wolfe JR 22:47
2,382  Alayna Garver FR 23:05
2,823  Madison Dooley SO 24:00
National Rank #242 of 348
Southeast Region Rank #29 of 50
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 29th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Hannah Tobler Jennah Flairty Elyse Black Natalie Lienhart Kimmy Wolfe Alayna Garver Madison Dooley
Joe Piane Invitational (Gold) 09/29 1267 21:49 22:15 22:25 22:48 22:22 23:01 24:35
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 1269 21:39 22:14 22:22 22:52 22:40 23:03 23:43
Horizon League Championship 10/28 1281 21:37 22:50 22:18 22:42 22:51 23:10 24:07
Southeast Region Championships 11/10 1305 21:33 22:28 22:43 22:50 23:59 23:45





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 30.4 933 0.2 0.2 1.8 4.4 10.9 19.6 18.7 15.3



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Tobler 130.6
Jennah Flairty 186.2
Elyse Black 192.2
Natalie Lienhart 213.0
Kimmy Wolfe 213.8
Alayna Garver 228.5
Madison Dooley 267.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 0.2% 0.2 24
25 0.2% 0.2 25
26 1.8% 1.8 26
27 4.4% 4.4 27
28 10.9% 10.9 28
29 19.6% 19.6 29
30 18.7% 18.7 30
31 15.3% 15.3 31
32 10.6% 10.6 32
33 8.0% 8.0 33
34 6.4% 6.4 34
35 2.7% 2.7 35
36 1.0% 1.0 36
37 0.4% 0.4 37
38 0.1% 0.1 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
50 50
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0